Is Trump The Answer for Dummies
Yeah, Sarah, I would be amazed if a popular Democrat runs against Biden. I would not be amazed, though, if he declines to run for reelection.
If Trump were to all of a sudden wait to announce or were even to float the idea he won’t run that might make complex Biden’s decision-making process if he is considering not running once again. I guess I’m simply doubtful that Biden would throw in the towel without an apparent beneficiary obvious despite his age.
I’m not sure how much the information backs that up. They likewise chose Harris over Trump 45 percent to 44 percent.
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And that’s before even entering into the fact that 2024 is 2 years away and early general-election surveys are pretty meaningless. It mainly depends on the pollster as to whether Biden leads or Trump leads, but on balance, Biden might lead slightly usually. I do think, however, some Democrats think anyone other than Biden might be weaker against Trump.
Most of the discontent appears to be coming within Biden’s own party, too. To be clear, 75 percent of Democrats stated they approve of the job Biden is doing as president.
Where Biden goes from here back up or stagnant could be crucial to determining whether he runs once again., however he’s still undersea overall.
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Is it reasonable to say that we’re all in agreement that there is not room for anyone else in the Democratic main aside from Biden unless, of course, he does not run? OK, time to talk about the Republican side of things.
Ron De, Santis, former Vice President Mike Pence, former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley, former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan all appear to be lining up to run. However, of those, De, Santis is the only one who (currently) seems capable of beating Trump must the former president certainly run.
If you get a number of candidates splitting up the vote not going for Trump, it’s just going to make it easier for him to win.
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You’re not challenging a sitting president, and there definitely appears to be at least some hesitancy over Trump and the concept that he has too much luggage and might not be able to win in a basic election again. A New York Times/Siena College survey from last month found, for example, that almost half of Americans who prepared to vote in the 2024 Republican politician primary would pick a candidate other than Trump in a main race.
I’m grateful you brought up that poll, since I believed that was a fascinating method to frame the outcomes, as one could likewise argue from that survey that Trump is still the undeniable leader. He was first, with 49 percent assistance, and De, Santis was in second, at 25 percent.
There is definitely more space for a challenger to Trump than to Biden, however Trump would still be favored. According to a recent Politico/Morning Consult survey, 56 percent of Republican politician and independent authorized citizens stated they would support Trump, while 18 percent stated they would support De, Santis, 8 percent said they would support Pence and a lot of other candidates all got 2 percent or less.
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According to that You, Gov/Yahoo News poll I discussed earlier, Trump beats De, Santis 44 percent to 35 percent amongst signed up voters in a direct match. Absolutely, but this point (from the Times reporting on the poll) was an interesting comparison to me: “His share of the Republican primary electorate is less than Hillary Clinton’s amongst Democrats was at the start of the 2016 race.” Naturally, Clinton eventually won that race, but it wasn’t a warranty Sanders gave her a real run for her money.
The Times could have also compared Trump to Gore’s position in 1999. That said, De, Santis is clearly a genuine risk to Trump; a 9-point lead in the surveys is not secure.
I understand we had a chat in the past about whether Trump’s grip on the GOP is still strong. At the time, I said that Trump may be weaker than some would like to confess, however after Tuesday night’s outcomes most especially Wyoming Rep. Liz Cheney’s main loss paired with the fates of the 9 other Republicans who voted to impeach the former president I in fact believe it’ll be truly hard for another Republican to cut through his power.